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Red62
1010812.3
492516.1
456446.2
Blue54
84216.5
252321.6
17240.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74602040801001206254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
40Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points0
62Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.20.2
35.235.1
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
red by 5.4
172
#8
40.90.2
33.032.8
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Second
4925
#25
16.10.2
10.610.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 5.4
2523
#29
21.60.3
20.219.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Third
12.30.3
16.516.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 5.8
8421
#30
6.50.3
3.22.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned