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Red90
454636.8
404128.7
910131.9
Blue68
615329.5
790710.5
905524.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1017840601201401609068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#10
56Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
70Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points12
90Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#14
36.80.1
25.024.9
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 7.3
6153
#23
29.51.1
25.023.9
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Second
9101
#21
31.90.1
28.328.2
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
red by 7.0
9055
#24
24.91.1
18.917.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Third
4041
#11
28.70.1
23.823.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
red by 18.2
7907
#17
10.51.8
18.016.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned