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Red131
632983.3
130727.0
5019.8
Blue108
447327.0
13351.5
616118.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1439250200250131108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+39Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
95Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points16
131Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.2
80.380.2
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 31.9
133
#6
51.51.1
41.140.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Second
1307
#18
27.00.3
22.522.3
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
blue by 0.1
4473
#19
27.00.6
22.421.8
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Third
501
#28
9.80.2
14.814.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 8.6
6161
#26
18.40.6
20.219.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned