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Red96
790710.5
264847.9
454636.8
Blue122
492516.1
17240.9
404128.7
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037905015096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +27
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
69Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
96Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
47.90.7
43.042.2
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
red by 7.1
172
#8
40.92.2
32.835.0
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Second
4546
#14
36.81.2
24.923.6
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 8.0
4041
#11
28.72.2
23.826.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
Third
7907
#17
10.51.2
16.114.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 5.6
4925
#25
16.12.2
10.412.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsMissed