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Red157
447327.0
130727.0
568765.0
Blue138
905524.9
791316.9
13351.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11594406080140160180200157138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +12
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
101Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#6
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
12Foul points0
157Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.02.8
50.152.9
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 13.5
133
#6
51.55.4
40.145.4
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Second
4473
#19
27.02.8
21.824.6
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
red by 2.1
9055
#24
24.93.2
17.821.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Third
1307
#18
27.04.7
22.327.0
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
red by 10.1
7913
#27
16.95.4
23.528.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned