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Red77
456446.2
615329.5
84216.5
Blue155
581367.9
767431.8
16644.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6114005010020077155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+46
Endgame+66
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +29
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
57Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#10
6L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points12
77Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.0
35.136.1
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
blue by 21.7
67.91.6
58.259.8
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
Second
6153
#23
29.51.0
23.924.9
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
blue by 15.5
166
#9
44.91.6
36.738.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
Third
8421
#30
6.51.7
2.94.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
blue by 25.3
7674
#15
31.82.7
23.626.3
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned