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Qual 302025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red100
5019.8
616118.4
490961.5
Blue145
910131.9
632983.3
973224.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10215350200100145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points33
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
67Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points6
100Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#4
61.50.7
55.3→56.0
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
blue by 21.8
6329
#1
83.30.7
80.2→80.9
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
Second
6161
#26
18.40.7
19.5→20.2
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 13.5
9101
#21
31.91.2
28.2→29.4
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
Third
501
#28
9.80.7
14.6→15.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 15.0
9732
#10
24.70.7
19.9→20.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned