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Red116
264847.9
905524.9
1006622.5
Blue78
130727.0
17240.9
1010812.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9187708010011011678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+34Teleop
+20Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
75Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
20Foul points2
116Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
47.91.0
42.243.2
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
red by 7.1
172
#8
40.90.1
35.034.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Second
9055
#24
24.91.0
21.022.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
blue by 2.1
1307
#18
27.00.2
27.026.8
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
Third
22.51.7
17.919.5
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 10.1
12.30.2
15.615.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned