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Red143
13351.5
16644.9
568765.0
Blue154
404128.7
581367.9
456446.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513750100200250300143154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#23
58Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
78Total teleop108
Reef
10L4#11
4L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
143Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.0
52.952.9
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
blue by 3.0
67.92.1
59.862.0
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
Second
133
#6
51.50.0
45.445.5
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
red by 5.2
46.22.1
36.138.2
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Third
166
#9
44.90.0
38.338.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
red by 16.2
4041
#11
28.72.1
26.028.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned