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Red56
791316.9
252321.6
910131.9
Blue120
616118.4
632983.3
271340.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781735010015020025056120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+32
Endgame+40
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
37Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
6Foul points30
56Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#21
31.93.1
29.426.3
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
blue by 51.4
83.33.6
80.977.3
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
Second
2523
#29
21.63.1
19.316.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
blue by 19.2
2713
#12
40.83.6
42.338.7
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
7913
#27
16.93.1
28.825.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 1.5
6161
#26
18.43.6
20.216.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned