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Red101
13351.5
1010812.3
1006622.5
Blue62
973224.7
616118.4
84216.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924802040608010012014016010162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
81Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
101Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
51.51.5
40.642.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
red by 26.7
9732
#10
24.70.4
13.313.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
Second
22.513.2
32.519.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 4.1
6161
#26
18.40.4
15.615.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
12.31.9
21.219.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
red by 5.8
8421
#30
6.50.6
16.517.1
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed