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Red177
632983.3
802324.9
17240.9
Blue75
447327.0
910131.9
615329.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1327505010015020017775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+88Teleop
+100Endgame
+102Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +57
27Coral scored#13
98Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
122Total teleop65
Reef
13L4#6
10L3#2
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +102
2Foul points0
177Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.33.6
72.075.6
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 51.4
9101
#21
31.90.7
23.522.8
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
Second
172
#8
40.93.6
23.727.3
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
red by 11.4
6153
#23
29.50.4
24.323.8
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Third
8023
#20
24.93.6
18.021.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 2.2
4473
#19
27.00.4
24.624.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed