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Qual 52025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red125
5852.8
271340.8
767431.8
Blue142
568765.0
404128.7
790710.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12380050100150200125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+27
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
93Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
125Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#7
52.80.9
45.3→46.2
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
blue by 12.1
5687
#3
65.03.8
38.8→42.6
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
Second
2713
#12
40.80.9
36.4→37.2
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
red by 12.0
4041
#11
28.73.8
19.5→23.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
Third
7674
#15
31.81.4
21.5→22.9
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
red by 21.3
7907
#17
10.56.4
15.3→21.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed