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Red135
973224.7
447327.0
490961.5
Blue92
767431.8
492516.1
615329.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123695010015020013592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+31Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
29Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
6Processor points18
16Net points8
22Algae points26
80Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
135Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.51.5
56.057.5
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
red by 29.7
7674
#15
31.81.9
26.328.2
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
Second
4473
#19
27.01.5
24.626.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 2.4
6153
#23
29.51.1
24.926.0
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Third
9732
#10
24.71.5
20.622.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
red by 8.6
4925
#25
16.11.1
12.613.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned