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Qual 402025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red84
404128.7
973224.7
264847.9
Blue124
5852.8
447327.0
84216.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11896608014016084124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
73Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
84Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
47.91.0
43.2→42.2
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
blue by 4.9
58
#7
52.82.6
46.5→49.1
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
Second
4041
#11
28.71.0
28.1→27.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
red by 1.7
4473
#19
27.02.6
26.1→28.7
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
Third
9732
#10
24.71.0
22.1→21.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
red by 18.2
8421
#30
6.54.0
6.9→10.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned