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Red111
17240.9
454636.8
616118.4
Blue144
568765.0
802324.9
767431.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80125050100150200111144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points57
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
79Total teleop105
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
111Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#8
40.91.7
36.037.7
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
blue by 24.1
65.02.0
53.955.9
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
Second
4546
#14
36.82.7
26.028.7
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 4.9
7674
#15
31.82.9
27.930.8
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
Third
6161
#26
18.41.7
14.916.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 6.5
8023
#20
24.92.0
23.725.7
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned