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Red123
252321.6
492516.1
632983.3
Blue26
790710.5
130727.0
791316.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1336405010015020012326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+91Teleop
+103Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +67
15Coral scored#3
55Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
77Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
8L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
0Foul points6
123Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.9
78.078.9
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 56.4
1307
#18
27.04.5
26.822.3
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
Second
2523
#29
21.61.3
17.218.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 4.6
7913
#27
16.94.5
22.818.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
4925
#25
16.10.9
14.315.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 5.6
7907
#17
10.54.1
13.59.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned