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Red175
447327.0
905524.9
581367.9
Blue114
615329.5
1006622.5
404128.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408150100150200250175114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+59Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points6
34Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
12Processor points12
32Net points8
44Algae points20
125Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
175Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.92.5
63.065.5
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 38.5
6153
#23
29.51.2
26.828.0
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
Second
4473
#19
27.02.5
28.731.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 1.7
4041
#11
28.71.2
27.128.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
Third
9055
#24
24.92.5
22.024.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
red by 2.4
22.51.7
20.422.1
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned