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Red147
1010812.3
16644.9
973224.7
Blue164
271340.8
490961.5
910131.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7414550100200147164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+29
Endgame+37
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
85Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
20Foul points0
147Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
44.92.9
38.341.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
blue by 16.6
61.52.0
57.459.4
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Second
9732
#10
24.72.9
21.224.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
blue by 16.0
2713
#12
40.82.0
39.341.2
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
12.34.5
12.417.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 19.6
9101
#21
31.93.1
26.329.4
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned