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Red118
264847.9
767431.8
252321.6
Blue168
130727.0
454636.8
13351.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061046080120140160118168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
19Coral scored#26
68Coral points93
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
18Processor points12
16Net points24
34Algae points36
102Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#15
5L3#6
7L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
118Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#16
47.90.3
43.043.3
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
blue by 3.5
133
#6
51.54.7
40.645.4
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Second
7674
#15
31.80.4
30.831.2
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
blue by 4.9
4546
#14
36.85.1
28.733.8
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Third
2523
#29
21.60.4
18.518.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
blue by 5.4
1307
#18
27.05.1
22.327.4
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned