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Red145
1006622.5
568765.0
973224.7
Blue87
790710.5
616118.4
456446.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1216805010015020014587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
22Coral scored#14
80Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
102Total teleop67
Reef
11L4#5
8L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
145Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.01.7
55.957.6
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 18.7
46.21.0
39.540.6
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Second
9732
#10
24.71.7
24.125.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
red by 6.3
6161
#26
18.41.0
16.617.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
22.52.2
22.124.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
red by 11.9
7907
#17
10.51.4
9.310.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed