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Red121
252321.6
581367.9
615329.5
Blue57
271340.8
84216.5
905524.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286805010015020012157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+56Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points15
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
74Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
121Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.6
65.566.2
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 27.1
2713
#12
40.80.7
40.639.9
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Second
6153
#23
29.50.6
26.827.5
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
red by 4.6
9055
#24
24.90.7
22.621.8
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Third
2523
#29
21.60.8
18.919.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 15.1
8421
#30
6.51.0
4.94.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned