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Qual 522025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red84
802324.9
447327.0
130727.0
Blue183
16644.9
490961.5
454636.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921605020025084183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+85
Endgame+95
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +42
3Leave3
1Coral scored#10
6Coral points48
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +43
13Coral scored#22
45Coral points78
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
69Total teleop112
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#12
4L2#6
1L1 · trough#6
19Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
0Foul points4
84Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#19
27.01.3
29.1→27.8
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 34.5
4909
#4
61.51.5
59.3→60.7
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Second
1307
#18
27.01.7
27.4→25.7
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
blue by 17.9
166
#9
44.91.5
40.6→42.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
Third
8023
#20
24.91.3
25.6→24.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 11.9
4546
#14
36.82.0
33.8→35.8
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned