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Qual 532025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red180
456446.2
568765.0
910131.9
Blue146
264847.9
492516.1
13351.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011250100150200180146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+30Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
125Total teleop109
Reef
14L4#11
7L3#6
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points0
180Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#3
65.02.7
57.6→60.3
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 13.5
133
#6
51.52.6
45.4→48.0
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Second
4564
#5
46.22.7
40.6→43.3
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
blue by 1.7
2648
#16
47.92.1
43.3→45.4
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Third
9101
#21
31.93.6
28.1→31.7
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6
red by 15.8
4925
#25
16.12.1
14.3→16.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned