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Red36
973224.7
5019.8
791316.9
Blue54
767431.8
1010812.3
790710.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60640501001503654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+8
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
18Total teleop33
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points10
36Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9732
#10
24.71.1
25.724.6
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
blue by 7.1
7674
#15
31.81.1
31.230.2
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
Second
7913
#27
16.91.3
16.515.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 4.6
12.31.1
12.511.4
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Third
501
#28
9.81.1
7.36.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 0.8
7907
#17
10.51.1
10.79.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed