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Red121
404128.7
5852.8
616118.4
Blue139
1006622.5
17240.9
632983.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9916750150200250121139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+26
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points38
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +2
17Coral scored#18
60Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
84Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#9
8L3#9
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
121Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#7
52.81.1
49.850.9
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
blue by 30.5
83.30.9
78.978.1
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
Second
4041
#11
28.71.1
26.627.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
blue by 12.1
172
#8
40.90.9
37.736.8
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Third
6161
#26
18.41.1
17.618.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 4.1
22.51.1
24.323.2
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed