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Qual 562025 NE District Pine Tree Event
Red108
615329.5
802324.9
271340.8
Blue145
130727.0
456446.2
490961.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9814950200250108145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+61
Endgame+41
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +40
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points60
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
62Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#5
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
4Foul points0
108Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#12
40.80.8
39.9→40.7
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
blue by 20.8
4909
#4
61.51.0
60.7→61.7
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
Second
6153
#23
29.50.8
27.5→28.3
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9
blue by 16.8
4564
#5
46.21.0
43.3→44.3
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Third
8023
#20
24.90.8
24.3→25.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 2.1
1307
#18
27.01.2
25.7→27.0
Auto3.5
Teleop20.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed