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Red165
581367.9
13351.5
790710.5
Blue102
84216.5
791316.9
264847.9
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14663050100200165102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+37Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
98Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#6
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
165Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.91.4
66.267.6
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 20.0
2648
#16
47.91.6
45.447.0
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Second
133
#6
51.51.6
48.049.5
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
red by 34.5
7913
#27
16.91.8
15.216.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Third
7907
#17
10.51.6
9.711.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 4.0
8421
#30
6.51.9
4.05.9
Auto1.7
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed