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Red139
252321.6
568765.0
454636.8
Blue143
632983.3
404128.7
1010812.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133142050100200250300350139143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
100Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points2
139Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.8
60.361.1
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
blue by 18.4
83.30.8
78.178.9
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
Second
4546
#14
36.81.0
35.836.7
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
red by 8.0
4041
#11
28.70.8
27.628.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
Third
2523
#29
21.60.9
19.720.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 9.2
12.30.9
11.412.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned