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Red143
905524.9
16644.9
17240.9
Blue53
767431.8
5019.8
616118.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11755010015020014353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+72Teleop
+92Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
18Coral scored#8
64Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
82Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#2
7L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points2
143Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
44.92.8
42.144.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
red by 13.1
7674
#15
31.80.3
30.229.9
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
Second
172
#8
40.92.8
36.839.6
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
red by 22.5
6161
#26
18.40.3
18.718.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
9055
#24
24.92.8
21.824.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
red by 15.1
501
#28
9.80.3
6.25.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed