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Red171
13351.5
767431.8
456446.2
Blue134
615329.5
16644.9
454636.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14812880100120140160180200220171134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+33Teleop
+29Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +37
24Coral scored#21
85Coral points76
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
30Processor points6
20Net points16
50Algae points22
135Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
8Foul points0
171Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#6
51.50.6
49.550.1
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
red by 6.5
166
#9
44.90.2
44.945.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
Second
46.20.6
44.344.9
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
red by 9.5
4546
#14
36.80.3
36.737.0
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Third
7674
#15
31.80.6
29.930.5
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8
red by 2.4
6153
#23
29.50.2
29.429.7
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9