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Red59
492516.1
1006622.5
447327.0
Blue126
17240.9
910131.9
271340.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7013805010015020059126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+51
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +34
8Coral scored#19
30Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
50Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
59Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#19
27.00.2
27.227.0
Auto4.7
Teleop18.8
End3.5
blue by 13.8
172
#8
40.90.3
40.640.9
Auto9.5
Teleop23.9
End7.4
Second
22.50.2
22.622.5
Auto6.0
Teleop16.0
End0.5
blue by 18.3
2713
#12
40.80.3
40.540.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.2
End8.0
Third
4925
#25
16.10.2
16.316.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 15.8
9101
#21
31.90.3
31.732.0
Auto5.0
Teleop25.3
End1.6