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Red100
404128.7
973224.7
905524.9
Blue124
615329.5
454636.8
16644.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92140050200250100124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
75Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#8
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
100Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4041
#11
28.70.1
28.628.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.9
blue by 16.2
166
#9
44.90.1
45.145.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End9.8
Second
9055
#24
24.90.1
24.824.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.2
End2.4
blue by 11.9
4546
#14
36.80.1
37.037.0
Auto8.2
Teleop25.8
End2.8
Third
9732
#10
24.70.1
24.624.7
Auto6.2
Teleop15.3
End3.2
blue by 4.7
6153
#23
29.50.1
29.729.6
Auto2.0
Teleop19.5
End7.9