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Red190
632983.3
5019.8
568765.0
Blue119
252321.6
264847.9
5852.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166123100150200250190119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
9Coral scored#5
45Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +38
25Coral scored#15
89Coral points53
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
123Total teleop85
Reef
11L4#9
11L3#4
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
190Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.9
80.681.5
Auto22.0
Teleop52.6
End8.7
red by 30.5
58
#7
52.80.0
52.352.2
Auto9.3
Teleop37.1
End6.4
Second
65.00.9
62.263.1
Auto14.8
Teleop41.6
End8.6
red by 17.0
2648
#16
47.90.0
47.447.4
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End0.9
Third
501
#28
9.80.9
7.07.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 11.8
2523
#29
21.60.0
21.021.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End1.0