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Red170
802324.9
581367.9
490961.5
Blue104
13351.5
767431.8
456446.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113650100150200170104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+56Teleop
+68Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
21Coral scored#14
76Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
110Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#8
10L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points2
170Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.3
68.268.6
Auto16.9
Teleop41.9
End9.1
red by 16.5
133
#6
51.50.5
50.149.6
Auto10.2
Teleop33.7
End7.6
Second
61.50.3
61.862.2
Auto19.4
Teleop35.8
End6.4
red by 15.3
46.20.5
44.944.4
Auto9.3
Teleop35.7
End1.2
Third
8023
#20
24.90.3
25.225.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.6
End3.1
blue by 6.9
7674
#15
31.80.5
30.530.0
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.8