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Red47
928029.5
497717.9
393310.6
Blue50
47357.6
664731.6
588719.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103770501504750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
6Coral scored#5
21Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
31Total teleop27
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
47Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#37
29.52.7
42.439.7
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
blue by 2.2
6647
#13
31.61.6
34.532.9
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.4
Second
4977
#11
17.92.7
20.517.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 1.1
19.01.6
17.415.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Third
3933
#36
10.62.7
21.118.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
red by 3.0
4735
#30
7.61.6
14.012.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned