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Red56
594820.1
665220.2
513312.3
Blue67
352631.3
335430.1
99917.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63980501505667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
35Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points0
56Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6652
#18
20.20.8
13.412.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4
blue by 11.1
3526
#14
31.31.0
29.528.6
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Second
5948
#39
20.10.8
29.328.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.1
blue by 10.0
3354
#17
30.11.0
42.441.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End2.2
Third
5133
#24
12.30.8
19.118.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 5.1
9991
#19
7.21.6
9.37.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed