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Red66
998211.2
35277.1
315841.5
Blue46
347212.9
87407.5
99958.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564901001502002503006646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
12Coral scored#6
43Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
53Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
66Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.50.7
39.340.0
Auto3.4
Teleop35.8
End2.3
red by 28.6
3472
#27
12.90.2
20.620.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End-0.4
Second
9982
#16
11.21.1
4.75.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
red by 2.5
9995
#22
8.70.4
11.511.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Third
3527
#26
7.10.9
12.113.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 0.4
8740
#31
7.50.3
10.410.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed