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Red25
92825.4
335430.1
Blue34
710218.4
595919.5
35277.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6873204060801002534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop21
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
25Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#17
30.12.2
41.539.3
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End2.2
red by 10.6
5959
#28
19.52.4
21.519.1
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
9282
#29
5.42.4
6.94.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 13.1
7102
#25
18.42.2
26.524.3
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Third
1.52.7
7.75.0
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End1.2
blue by 5.6
3527
#26
7.12.7
13.010.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed