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Red84
352631.3
440073.7
594820.1
Blue109
393310.6
463566.6
921310.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610105020084109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +6
10Coral scored#8
35Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
45Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points26
84Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.73.3
76.873.5
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
red by 7.1
66.60.7
62.561.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.7
End10.4
Second
3526
#14Sur
31.33.3
28.625.2
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 20.7
3933
#36Sur
10.60.7
18.517.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Third
5948
#39
20.13.3
28.525.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.1
red by 10.0
9213
#12
10.10.8
13.112.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned