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Red151
315841.5
347865.2
601737.1
Blue29
665220.2
47357.6
87407.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691605010015020025015129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+100Teleop
+122Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +80
21Coral scored#6
74Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
6Processor points0
24Net points4
30Algae points4
104Total teleop24
Reef
11L4#2
8L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#7
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points0
151Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.0
60.361.3
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
red by 45.0
6652
#18
20.20.4
12.612.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Second
41.51.0
40.040.9
Auto3.4
Teleop35.8
End2.3
red by 33.9
4735
#30
7.60.4
12.311.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
37.11.0
36.237.2
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
red by 29.6
8740
#31
7.50.4
10.710.3
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed