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Red20
997821.0
478211.2
99958.7
Blue44
513312.3
930123.5
588719.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2784040601001201401602044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop29
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
20Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9978
#10
21.01.8
7.15.3
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
blue by 2.5
9301
#15
23.51.6
33.932.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End6.0
Second
4782
#35
11.21.1
17.516.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.8
blue by 7.8
19.01.6
15.814.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Third
9995
#22
8.71.8
11.910.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 3.7
5133
#24
12.31.6
18.316.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed