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Red59
99917.2
473127.6
998211.2
Blue54
754621.5
710218.4
571630.4
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5511201001502002505954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
46Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
59Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4731
#32
27.61.3
26.727.9
Auto1.7
Teleop26.2
End-0.4
blue by 2.8
5716
#38
30.41.9
38.436.5
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End4.5
Second
9982
#16
11.22.1
5.87.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 10.3
7546
#21
21.51.9
19.717.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Third
9991
#19
7.22.1
7.89.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 11.2
7102
#25
18.41.9
24.322.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed