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Red128
440341.7
930123.5
463566.6
Blue15
348013.5
928029.5
47357.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1677005010015020025012815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+91Teleop
+107Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
3Leave3
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +57
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points12
4Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
24Processor points0
8Net points0
32Algae points0
69Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#3
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
6Foul points0
128Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.61.3
61.760.4
Auto17.5
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 37.2
9280
#37
29.54.0
39.735.7
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Second
41.71.3
48.046.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End7.0
red by 28.3
3480
#40
13.54.0
23.619.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
Third
9301
#15
23.51.3
32.331.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End6.0
red by 15.9
4735
#30
7.64.0
11.97.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed