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Red73
594820.1
348013.5
742135.7
Blue85
315841.5
595919.5
393310.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83912040601001201407385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#14
27Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
41Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points6
73Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.9
29.428.5
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End3.3
blue by 5.8
41.50.1
40.941.0
Auto3.4
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
5948
#39
20.10.9
25.224.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.1
red by 0.6
5959
#28
19.50.1
19.319.4
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Third
3480
#40
13.50.9
19.618.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
red by 2.8
3933
#36
10.60.1
17.717.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed