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Red46
664731.6
99958.7
928029.5
Blue66
473127.6
352631.3
87407.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111700501001502002504666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#12
21Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
29Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
46Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#13
31.62.3
34.932.6
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.4
red by 0.3
3526
#14
31.30.2
25.225.4
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Second
9280
#37
29.52.3
35.733.4
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
red by 1.9
4731
#32
27.60.2
27.928.1
Auto1.7
Teleop26.2
End-0.4
Third
9995
#22
8.73.9
10.06.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
red by 1.2
8740
#31
7.50.2
10.310.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed