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Red81
588719.0
601737.1
710218.4
Blue44
513312.3
40100.5
99992.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions944601502008144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
12Processor points6
4Net points0
16Algae points6
54Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
8Foul points0
81Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.8
37.236.3
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
red by 24.8
5133
#24
12.30.8
16.717.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Second
19.00.8
14.213.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 16.3
9999
#23
2.81.4
5.26.6
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End1.0
Third
7102
#25
18.40.8
22.421.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
red by 17.9
4010
#34
0.50.8
-0.80.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed