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Red39
601737.1
99958.7
99917.2
Blue34
670227.2
348013.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67530204060801003934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
3Coral scored#4
9Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
15Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points4
39Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.3
36.335.0
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
red by 9.9
6702
#33
27.21.6
29.127.4
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
Second
9995
#22
8.72.2
6.24.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 4.8
3480
#40
13.51.6
18.717.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
Third
9991
#19
7.22.2
9.97.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
red by 5.8
1.51.6
6.75.0
Auto0.7
Teleop-0.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed