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Red64
513312.3
92825.4
664731.6
Blue60
998211.2
40100.5
440341.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595602040801001201401606460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
26Foul points22
64Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#13
31.61.2
32.631.5
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.4
blue by 10.1
41.71.2
47.646.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End7.0
Second
5133
#24
12.31.2
17.516.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 1.1
9982
#16
11.21.9
7.75.7
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Third
9282
#29
5.41.2
5.54.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.9
red by 4.8
4010
#34
0.51.2
0.1-1.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned