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Red74
87407.5
315841.5
92825.4
Blue27
513312.3
393310.6
571630.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61612040807427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points11
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
57Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
4Foul points2
74Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.3
38.940.2
Auto3.4
Teleop35.8
End2.3
red by 11.1
5716
#38
30.42.5
31.128.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End4.5
Second
8740
#31
7.51.3
7.28.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 4.8
5133
#24
12.32.5
16.313.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Third
9282
#29
5.41.3
4.35.6
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.9
blue by 5.3
3933
#36
10.62.5
14.612.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed